Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.024153 0.029177 0.034453 0.040364 0.046762 0.053442 0.060909
2026-02-01 0.016189 0.023053 0.030813 0.040032 0.050506 0.061887 0.075050
2026-02-08 0.010235 0.017593 0.026588 0.037875 0.051242 0.066230 0.084011
2026-02-15 0.006836 0.014342 0.024241 0.037264 0.053203 0.071504 0.093611
2026-02-22 0.004834 0.012416 0.023148 0.037837 0.056283 0.077841 0.104225
2026-03-01 0.003399 0.010911 0.022330 0.038535 0.059340 0.084014 0.114532
2026-03-08 0.002498 0.010003 0.022169 0.039954 0.063188 0.091050 0.125785
2026-03-15 0.001669 0.008911 0.021567 0.040661 0.066052 0.096837 0.135512
2026-03-22 0.001502 0.009168 0.023002 0.044136 0.072431 0.106883 0.150288
2026-03-29 0.000735 0.007562 0.021299 0.043124 0.072949 0.109711 0.156415
2026-04-05 0.000388 0.006775 0.020811 0.043746 0.075530 0.115030 0.165488
2026-04-12 0.000128 0.005833 0.019912 0.043685 0.077151 0.119116 0.173043
2026-04-19 0.000012 0.005038 0.019232 0.044007 0.079415 0.124194 0.182056
2026-04-26 NaN 0.004185 0.018293 0.043875 0.081052 0.128497 0.190164
2026-05-03 NaN 0.002901 0.016126 0.041653 0.079708 0.128940 0.193477
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002201 0.015028 0.041018 0.080487 0.132036 0.200011
2026-05-17 NaN 0.001855 0.014708 0.041621 0.082979 0.137317 0.209234
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001575 0.014486 0.042355 0.085636 0.142801 0.218702
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001457 0.014710 0.043844 0.089372 0.149687 0.229917
2026-06-07 NaN 0.001230 0.014519 0.044587 0.092019 0.155145 0.239346
2026-06-14 NaN 0.001472 0.015958 0.048228 0.098879 0.166124 0.255687
2026-06-21 NaN 0.001000 0.014777 0.047169 0.098887 0.168116 0.260775
2026-06-28 NaN 0.000821 0.014568 0.047820 0.101372 0.173347 0.269914